Daniel M. Byrd III, Ph.D., D.A.B.T. (Consultants in Toxicology, Risk
Assessment and Product Safety) and C. Richard Cothern, Ph.D. (George
Washington University and University College, University of Maryland)
happily announce the availability of their new book:
Introduction to Risk Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Science-Based
Decision Making
August 2000, 433 pages, Government Institutes Division, ABS Group Inc.,
Houston, TX [ISBN: 0-86587-696-7 (clothbound)] $99.00 + shipping
Byrd and Cothern met at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Because EPA operates under several regulatory statutes that make
decisions based on risk, this agency has developed and incorporated many
risk-based analyses and guidelines, which they reviewed and discussed
over the years. Both subscribe to risk-based regulatory decision
making.
They specifically wrote Introduction to Risk Analysis for entry level
risk analysts, attorneys, government officials, scientists, managers and
others, who want to understand how agencies use varying and diverse data
to set health and safety standards. The book’s structure allows for use
as a text or a self-paced review. The chapters can be read in sequence
without assistance. However, most chapters stand alone so the reader
can understand components of risk analysis in
isolation, if needed.
Contents:
Chapter One - Risk Analysis
Probability of a Future Loss
Structure of Risk Analysis
Risk Characteristics
Units
Life Tables
Uncertainty
Models
Regulations and Regulatory Models
The Rest of the Book
References
Chapter Two - Functions, Models and Uncertainties
Qualitative Approaches to Risk
Quantitative Approaches to Risk
Graphs and Mathematical Models
Growth Rate, Doubling Time and Logarithms
Statistics For Pedestrians
Probability Distributions
Tolerance-Distribution Models
Mechanistic Models
Uncertainty
Making Estimates
References
Chapter Appendix
Chapter Three - Regulation
The Regulatory Process
Why Have Regulatory Agencies?
Food Safety: An Example
Ethical Systems and Values
The Legislative Component
The Administrative Component
The Judicial Component
Additional Information about Federal Regulation
References
Chapter Four - Exposure Assessment
Exposure
Planning an Exposure Assessment
Establishing the Sampling Strategy
Sources of Exposure
Fate and Transport Models
Intake Calculations
Multimedia-Multipathway Exposures and Models
Most Important Design Elements in Multimedia-Multipathway Studies
National Human Exposure Assessment Surveys
Potential Problems in Multimedia-Multipathway Studies
Sources of Additional Information
References
Chapter Five - Dosimetry
Dose (and some terminology)
Dosimetric Measurements
Dosimetric Routes
Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism and Elimination
Pharmacokinetics
Physiological Pharmacokinetics
Sources of Additional Information
References
Chapter Six - Epidemiology
Introduction to Epidemiology
Epidemiological Methods
Hazard and Causation
Epidemiology in Transition
Cancer Epidemiology
Exposure-Response Relationships in Epidemiology
Meta-analysis
The Public Health Paradigm
Epidemiological Uncertainties
Sources of Additional Information about Epidemiology
References
Chapter Seven - Toxicology
Toxicology
Weight of Evidence in Toxicology
Exposure-Response Relationships in Toxicology
The Toxicology of Carcinogens
Safety Assessment
Sources of Additional Information about Toxicology
References
Chapter Eight - Risk Characterization
Bringing Potency and Exposure Estimates Together
Exposure-Response Modeling Errors - Trichloroethylene
Combining Estimated Error Ranges: Radon From Drinking Water
Combining Error Ranges: Monte Carlo Analysis of Trichloroethylene
Conclusions
References
Chapter Nine - Comparative Risk Analysis
Introduction
Comparative Environmental Risk Assessment
Problems with Comparative Environmental Risk Assessment
Discussion
Observations
Conclusions
References
Chapter Ten - Ecological Risk Analysis
Introduction
Laws Requiring Ecological Risk Assessment
What Is Ecological Risk Assessment?
Ecological Characteristics
Ecological Stressors
Screening and Testing of Chemicals
The Ecological Risk Analysis Process
References
Chapter Eleven - Risk Management: Values and Decision Making
Introduction
Values
Some Conceptual Decision Models
Making Regulatory Decisions
Conclusions
References
Chapter Twelve - Risk Communication
Introduction to Risk Communication
Risk Perception
Fulton’s List
The Seven Cardinal Rules of Risk Communication
Other Approaches to Risk Communication
Public Interactions
Risk Communication Plans
Some General Tips
Constraints on Risk Communication
Communications Media
Some Common Traps
Summary of Risk Communications
References
Chapter Thirteen - Case Studies
Introduction
Case Study: Ecological Case Study-Acidic Deposition
Case Study: Arsenic
Case Study: Electromagnetic Fields
Case Study: Environmental Tobacco Smoke
Case Study: Indoor Air
Case Study: Radon
Epidemiological Studies
Animal and Cellular Studies
Quantitative Risk Assessment
Public Reaction is Widespread Apathy
Comparison between Risk Estimates for Exposure to Radon and Other
Environmental Contaminants
Reference
Appendix
To order, contact Government Institutes by phone at 301-921-2323, by fax
at (301)921- 0264, by email at giinfo at govinst.com, by Internet at
http://www.govinst.com, or in writing at
Government Institutes Divison.
ABS Group Inc.
4 Research Place
Suite 200
Rockville, MD 20850-3226
---
