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Book announcement

Daniel Byrd ctraps at Radix.Net
Fri Sep 29 08:49:57 EST 2000

Daniel M. Byrd III, Ph.D., D.A.B.T. (Consultants in Toxicology, Risk
Assessment and Product Safety) and C. Richard Cothern, Ph.D. (George
Washington University and University College, University of Maryland)
happily announce the availability of their new book:

Introduction to Risk Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Science-Based
Decision Making

August 2000, 433 pages, Government Institutes Division, ABS Group Inc.,
Houston, TX [ISBN: 0-86587-696-7 (clothbound)] $99.00 + shipping

Byrd and Cothern met at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Because EPA operates under several regulatory statutes that make
decisions based on risk, this agency has developed and incorporated many
risk-based analyses and guidelines, which they reviewed and discussed
over the years.  Both subscribe to risk-based regulatory decision

They specifically wrote Introduction to Risk Analysis for entry level
risk analysts, attorneys, government officials, scientists, managers and
others, who want to understand how agencies use varying and diverse data
to set health and safety standards.  The book’s structure allows for use
as a text or a self-paced review.  The chapters can be read in sequence
without assistance.  However, most chapters stand alone so the reader
can understand components of risk analysis in
isolation, if needed.


Chapter One - Risk Analysis

     Probability of a Future Loss
     Structure of Risk Analysis
     Risk Characteristics
     Life Tables
     Regulations and Regulatory Models
     The Rest of the Book

Chapter Two - Functions, Models and Uncertainties

     Qualitative Approaches to Risk
     Quantitative Approaches to Risk
     Graphs and Mathematical Models
     Growth Rate, Doubling Time and Logarithms
     Statistics For Pedestrians
     Probability Distributions
     Tolerance-Distribution Models
     Mechanistic Models
     Making Estimates
     Chapter Appendix

Chapter Three - Regulation

     The Regulatory Process
     Why Have Regulatory Agencies?
     Food Safety: An Example
     Ethical Systems and Values
     The Legislative Component
     The Administrative Component
     The Judicial Component
     Additional Information about Federal Regulation

Chapter Four - Exposure Assessment

 Planning an Exposure Assessment
 Establishing the Sampling Strategy
 Sources of Exposure
 Fate and Transport Models
 Intake Calculations
 Multimedia-Multipathway Exposures and Models
 Most Important Design Elements in Multimedia-Multipathway Studies
 National Human Exposure Assessment Surveys
 Potential Problems in Multimedia-Multipathway Studies
 Sources of Additional Information

Chapter Five - Dosimetry

 Dose (and some terminology)
 Dosimetric Measurements
 Dosimetric Routes
 Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism and Elimination
 Physiological Pharmacokinetics
 Sources of Additional Information

Chapter Six - Epidemiology

 Introduction to Epidemiology
 Epidemiological Methods
 Hazard and Causation
 Epidemiology in Transition
 Cancer Epidemiology
 Exposure-Response Relationships in Epidemiology
 The Public Health Paradigm
 Epidemiological Uncertainties
 Sources of Additional Information about Epidemiology

Chapter Seven - Toxicology

 Weight of Evidence in Toxicology
 Exposure-Response Relationships in Toxicology
 The Toxicology of Carcinogens
 Safety Assessment
 Sources of Additional Information about Toxicology

Chapter Eight - Risk Characterization

 Bringing Potency and Exposure Estimates Together
 Exposure-Response Modeling Errors - Trichloroethylene
 Combining Estimated Error Ranges: Radon From Drinking Water
 Combining Error Ranges: Monte Carlo Analysis of Trichloroethylene

Chapter Nine - Comparative Risk Analysis

 Comparative Environmental Risk Assessment
 Problems with Comparative Environmental Risk Assessment

Chapter Ten - Ecological Risk Analysis

 Laws Requiring Ecological Risk Assessment
 What Is Ecological Risk Assessment?
 Ecological Characteristics
 Ecological Stressors
 Screening and Testing of Chemicals
 The Ecological Risk Analysis Process

Chapter Eleven - Risk Management: Values and Decision Making

 Some Conceptual Decision Models
 Making Regulatory Decisions

Chapter Twelve - Risk Communication

 Introduction to Risk Communication
 Risk Perception
 Fulton’s List
 The Seven Cardinal Rules of Risk Communication
 Other Approaches to Risk Communication
 Public Interactions
 Risk Communication Plans
 Some General Tips
 Constraints on Risk Communication
 Communications Media
 Some Common Traps
 Summary of Risk Communications

Chapter Thirteen - Case Studies

 Case Study: Ecological Case Study-Acidic Deposition
 Case Study: Arsenic
 Case Study: Electromagnetic Fields
 Case Study: Environmental Tobacco Smoke
 Case Study: Indoor Air
 Case Study: Radon
 Epidemiological Studies
 Animal and Cellular Studies
  Quantitative Risk Assessment
 Public Reaction is Widespread Apathy
 Comparison between Risk Estimates for Exposure to Radon and Other
Environmental Contaminants

To order, contact Government Institutes by phone at 301-921-2323, by fax
at (301)921- 0264, by email at giinfo at govinst.com, by Internet at
http://www.govinst.com, or in writing at

  Government Institutes Divison.
  ABS Group Inc.
  4 Research Place
  Suite 200
  Rockville, MD 20850-3226


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